Monthly Perspectives

  • Between Unimpressive & somewhat negative (Perspectives – January 2018) January 8, 2018 - Between Unimpressive & somewhat negative (David Lafferty, Chief Market Strategist, Natixis) – With that as backdrop in terms of outlook for bonds, the question is: Have we seen the full effect of the great rotation? Are 2017’s generally stellar returns all attributable to rising profits and the beneficial effects of a synchronized and strengthening global economy? Or – is there Continue Reading
  • 2018 – Onward & Upward? (Perspectives – December 2017) December 4, 2017 - 2018 – Onward & Upward? 2017 will by then have gone down as the year when volatility didn’t return, Bitcoin rocketed upward, “Normalization” took hold, the economic recovery turned Global and synchronized, and … seemingly no matter what the headlines, stocks rose … (Notice how I didn’t mention a certain prominent US political figure here …) The USD disappointed, Europe was Continue Reading
  • All Treats, no Tricks (Perspectives – November 2017) November 6, 2017 - All Treats, no Tricks – Wrapping up what is considered a dangerous month for equity markets historically (to wit, we marked the 30th anniversary of Black Monday on Oct 19), the glaring disconnect for Oct 2017, is that a) market volatility remains extremely well behaved, and more importantly for investors b) market performance has further contributed nicely to fattening their Continue Reading
  • 30th Anniversary … (Perspectives – October 2017) October 4, 2017 - 30th Anniversary … October 19th will mark the 30th Anniversary of Black Monday … Remarkably, markets these days appear – if not blissfully unaware of any and all manners of problems, risks and challenges – then certainly willing to overlook them. Will that change as the FED continues on its normalization path? September saw the FED confirm the path ahead Continue Reading
  • Seasonal Glitch? (Perspectives – September 2017) September 4, 2017 - Seasonal Glitch? Aside from the fact that September and October have generally proved plenty challenging to markets, we now have to contend with a continuing escalation of both rethoric, as well as provocative acts on the part of North Korea … Markets, which to this point, have been rather resilient and seemingly immune to politics, domestic and otherwise – look Continue Reading
  • Tantrum Risk? (Perspectives – August 2017) August 3, 2017 - Markets Headwinds; Loonie Strength; and a notable decline in exposure to Canada combined to produce a slight decrease in aggregate industry AuM as at July 31, 2017 (-CAD330MM, or -0.25% vs June)...
  • Second Half? (Perspectives – July 2017) July 4, 2017 - Second Half? With ETFs in Canada enjoying record net inflows (Est: +$15.5 Billion) in H1, 2017,  market volatility still remarkably tame, and a generally favorable market backdrop – the question is whether these conditions will continue to prevail for the rest of 2017. Naturally,  it will also be interesting to see what trends investors chose to latch on to with Continue Reading
  • Climate … Whaaat? (Perspectives – June 2017) June 3, 2017 - Climate … Whaaat?  Having left European leaders last week unimpressed, including in relation to article 5 and NATO, US President Donald Trump has now succeeded in drawing their ire – as he pulled the US out of the Paris Accord. Recent Developments: May Payrolls underwhelm – but June’s FED hike is still seen as in the cards, all the while Continue Reading
  • Against all Odds (Perspectives May 2017) May 3, 2017 - Against all Odds – Markets continue to defy the odds, high valuations in the US, rising geopolitical tensions in Asia, winds of war on the trade front (NAFTA) – and the ongoing rise of populism, notably in Europe. French Presidential elections held May 7th could – with a Macron victory – possibly given markets there further ground for embracing animal Continue Reading
  • Suspended Reality … (Perspectives – April 2017) April 5, 2017 - Suspended Reality … US Rates are headed higher; while elsewhere looking set to continue on their low or non-existent trajectory for longer still, yet the USD bullish stance of market participants has generally disappeared. US equities are consensus-wise considered pricey, the Eurozone just entered the twilight zone of post article 50 delivery uncertainty, as Britain’s PM Theresa May made good Continue Reading